Depeg Duration Resolver Changelog: v1 archive
Historical release evidence. Return to current versions and the complete history index.
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Depeg Duration Resolver Changelog: v1 archive version history
Use this changelog to trace how Pharos changed the related scoring, data-source, threshold, or interpretation rules over time. Entries record the contract active at each release; archived rules are retained so historical charts and citations can be read against the rules active at the time.
Primary references
Latest version
Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer
Added the Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer (DDRR), the audit layer that scores stored DDR assessments against later canonical depeg-event outcomes.
Impact snapshot
- Stores quarter-hourly DDR assessment checkpoints and reviews the first checkpoint for each event under the current methodology
- Publishes recovery-likelihood accuracy and average observed-minus-DDR recovery-duration error on /depeg/ and GET /api/depeg-resolver-review
- Keeps pending, insufficient-signal, and data-issue rows visible while excluding them from scored headline accuracy
- Removes terminal-lifecycle assets from live DDR readouts while DDRR scores their stored predictions as terminal outcomes
v1.1May 25, 2026Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer
Added the Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer (DDRR), the audit layer that scores stored DDR assessments against later canonical depeg-event outcomes.
- Stores quarter-hourly DDR assessment checkpoints and reviews the first checkpoint for each event under the current methodology
- Publishes recovery-likelihood accuracy and average observed-minus-DDR recovery-duration error on /depeg/ and GET /api/depeg-resolver-review
- Keeps pending, insufficient-signal, and data-issue rows visible while excluding them from scored headline accuracy
- Removes terminal-lifecycle assets from live DDR readouts while DDRR scores their stored predictions as terminal outcomes
DetailsHide details
Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer
Added the Depeg Duration Resolver Reviewer (DDRR), the audit layer that scores stored DDR assessments against later canonical depeg-event outcomes.
- Stores quarter-hourly DDR assessment checkpoints and reviews the first checkpoint for each event under the current methodology
- Publishes recovery-likelihood accuracy and average observed-minus-DDR recovery-duration error on /depeg/ and GET /api/depeg-resolver-review
- Keeps pending, insufficient-signal, and data-issue rows visible while excluding them from scored headline accuracy
- Removes terminal-lifecycle assets from live DDR readouts while DDRR scores their stored predictions as terminal outcomes
Impact notes
- Stores quarter-hourly DDR assessment checkpoints and reviews the first checkpoint for each event under the current methodology
- Publishes recovery-likelihood accuracy and average observed-minus-DDR recovery-duration error on /depeg/ and GET /api/depeg-resolver-review
- Keeps pending, insufficient-signal, and data-issue rows visible while excluding them from scored headline accuracy
- Removes terminal-lifecycle assets from live DDR readouts while DDRR scores their stored predictions as terminal outcomes
v1.0May 25, 2026Initial Depeg Duration Resolver
Launched the two-stage Depeg Duration Resolver: a mechanistic Resolution Outlook (terminal vs recoverable) and a stratified empirical duration estimate over recovered historical incidents.
- Stage 1 emits an ordinal verdict (recovery_likely / at_risk / recovery_unlikely / insufficient_signal) from kill signals and recovery anchors over structural metadata and the live depeg fingerprint
- Stage 2 emits a depth/direction/structural-class stratified landmark estimate with per-horizon (6h/24h/7d/30d) resolution likelihood, support-gated and Wilson-bounded
- Verdicts are calibrated domain reads, not fitted probabilities; audit-verdict gating is not used because event provenance is unpopulated
DetailsHide details
Initial Depeg Duration Resolver
Launched the two-stage Depeg Duration Resolver: a mechanistic Resolution Outlook (terminal vs recoverable) and a stratified empirical duration estimate over recovered historical incidents.
- Stage 1 emits an ordinal verdict (recovery_likely / at_risk / recovery_unlikely / insufficient_signal) from kill signals and recovery anchors over structural metadata and the live depeg fingerprint
- Stage 2 emits a depth/direction/structural-class stratified landmark estimate with per-horizon (6h/24h/7d/30d) resolution likelihood, support-gated and Wilson-bounded
- Verdicts are calibrated domain reads, not fitted probabilities; audit-verdict gating is not used because event provenance is unpopulated
Impact notes
- Stage 1 emits an ordinal verdict (recovery_likely / at_risk / recovery_unlikely / insufficient_signal) from kill signals and recovery anchors over structural metadata and the live depeg fingerprint
- Stage 2 emits a depth/direction/structural-class stratified landmark estimate with per-horizon (6h/24h/7d/30d) resolution likelihood, support-gated and Wilson-bounded
- Verdicts are calibrated domain reads, not fitted probabilities; audit-verdict gating is not used because event provenance is unpopulated